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FameEX Hot Topics | Ethereum Bulls and Bears Clash Over This Week's $2.8B ETH Options Expiry

2024-09-26 17:36:45

Ethereum has shown robust performance in September, but recent data suggests that maintaining a price above $2,600 might prove challenging. Ether (ETH) has been attempting to remain above the crucial $2,600 resistance level, following a 15.1% gain from September 18 to September 23. This upward trend was influenced in part by macroeconomic indicators signaling a slowing economy, which contributed to a rally in the stock market and heightened demand for short-term government bonds. As a result, traders are paying close attention to the upcoming $2.78 billion monthly Ether options expiry on September 27, as this event could potentially solidify the current bullish momentum.


One of the key drivers behind Ether’s recent price rally has been the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates, indicating a shift toward more accommodative monetary policies. This move not only benefited cryptocurrencies but also pushed the S&P 500 index to an all-time high on September 24. Moreover, a decline in the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI on September 23 heightened concerns about the health of the economy, further bolstering the positive sentiment toward cryptocurrencies like Ether. In response, yields on the U.S. 2-year Treasury bond fell to their lowest level in 24 months, as investors sought the relative safety of government-backed assets, which had a positive impact on cryptocurrencies regarded as scarce assets.


Despite the recent surge, Ether has faced a 33% decline over the last four months. This downturn followed the much-anticipated launch of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S., which failed to meet expectations, resulting in $684 million in outflows, as reported by Farside Investors.


The current open interest for Ethereum options stands at $2.77 billion, consisting of $1.82 billion in call (buy) options and $0.95 billion in put (sell) options. Although bullish investors seem to have the upper hand, with $1.47 billion in call options targeting prices of $2,700 or higher, these positions will become worthless if Ether remains below that threshold by September 27. This dynamic offers bearish investors a chance to shift the momentum despite having fewer put options.


As Ether’s price gains momentum, demand for its smart contract capabilities has seen a corresponding increase. The number of transactions on the Ethereum network surged by 15% in the seven days leading up to September 24, resulting in average transaction fees rising from $1.45 to over $4.50 within just ten days. This surge in activity underscores growing interest and engagement with the Ethereum network, reflecting its expanding role in the digital asset ecosystem.


Disclaimer: The information provided in this section is for informational purposes only, doesn't represent any investment advice or FameEX's official view.

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