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FameEX Hot Topics | Bitwise CIO Forecasts Bitcoin Might Exceed $200K in This Year Owing to Surging Demand and Scarce Supply

2024-03-05 19:21:45

Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, has forecasted that Bitcoin's price could potentially exceed $200,000 within the year, citing a pronounced imbalance in supply and demand as the primary catalyst. In an interview with CNBC, Hougan emphasized the "massive supply-demand dynamic" at play, with an increasing demand starkly contrasted against a constrained supply. He particularly pointed to the expected surge in demand following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which signals a new phase of price discovery for Bitcoin, suggesting significant upward price mobility.


The Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), one of the 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs sanctioned by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in early January, has garnered substantial interest from various investor segments, including retail investors, hedge funds, and registered investment advisors (RIAs). This widespread interest indicates the growing appeal of Bitcoin investment through these ETFs. Hougan anticipates an additional wave of demand as large financial institutions begin to engage, comparing this moment to Bitcoin's IPO phase.


The initial wave of demand for these ETFs was primarily from retail investors, independent financial advisors, and hedge funds, due to the initial unavailability at larger institutions. However, Hougan observes an influx of both institutional and retail funds into ETFs, significantly broadening the pool of Bitcoin investors.


Despite Bitwise's 2024 prediction last December, which anticipated Bitcoin prices hitting new all-time highs above $80,000, current trends and demand patterns within their ETF and similar offerings suggest that initial projections might be understated. Hougan posits that Bitcoin prices could well reach or surpass $200,000, driven by the critical supply-demand dynamic dominating the Bitcoin market. This situation is further intensified by the forthcoming "halvening" in April, which will see a reduction in Bitcoin's new supply. Hougan underscores the simplicity of Bitcoin's current investment thesis, which is fundamentally a question of supply and demand, with demand overwhelmingly outstripping supply.


Further boosting Bitcoin's bullish outlook, a $30 billion investment platform recently approved four spot Bitcoin ETFs, including Bitwise's fund. Major financial institutions like Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch and Wells Fargo have also started offering spot Bitcoin ETFs to select clients. Echoing this optimism, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley hinted that Bitcoin's price might hit $250,000 sooner than many expect, underlining the positive market sentiment driven by increased accessibility and institutional backing for Bitcoin investments through ETFs.


Disclaimer: The information provided in this section is for informational purposes only, doesn't represent any investment advice or FameEX's official view.

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